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Edison Investment Research Limited: Kopy Goldfields (KOPY): Initiation – Organic growth to more than 100koz in Russia

researchsnappy by researchsnappy
January 26, 2021
in Investment Research
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Edison Investment Research Limited: Kopy Goldfields (KOPY): Initiation – Organic growth to more than 100koz in Russia
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Edison Investment Research Limited 
Edison Investment Research Limited: Kopy Goldfields (KOPY): Initiation - Organic growth to more than 100koz in Russia 
26-Jan-2021 / 08:00 GMT/BST 
=---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
 
London, UK, 26 January 2021 
Kopy Goldfields (KOPY): Initiation - Organic growth to more than 100koz in Russia 
 
Kopy Goldfields produced 53koz of gold equivalent in FY20 following the reverse takeover by Amur Zoloto and plans to 
grow organically to 100koz within five years. This does not include the substantial potential of the 1.8Moz Krasny 
project, where Kopy retains 49% ownership. Kopy Goldfields is investigating a possible listing on the Nasdaq Nordic 
main market, which could enhance its appeal to a broader range of investors. 
 
Our discounted free cash flow to equity (DCFE) valuation of Kopy, at our long-term real gold price forecast of USUSD1,524 
/oz and 10% discount rate, is USUSD295m or USUSD0.33/share (SEK2.76/share). However, in the current market environment many 
listed gold companies are pricing in longer-term real gold prices closer to spot (currently USUSD1,855/oz). Running a 
sensitivity at a flat real gold price of USUSD1,700/oz (ie a nominal price of USUSD1,700/oz rising by inflation) would give 
us a DCFE valuation of SEK2.98/share and at USUSD1,900/oz that rises to SEK3.73/share, significantly above the current 
share price. Looking at EV/EBITDA multiples for comparable Russian gold companies and applying the peer group's FY22e 
EV/EBITDA multiple of 5.2x to FY22e Kopy EBITDA of USUSD71.2m would suggest a valuation of USUSD368m (equivalent to 
SEKUSD2.98/share after deducting net debt). Kopy Goldfields is looking to enhance its appeal to investors through a 
review of its dividend policy, environmental, social and corporate governance (ESG) reporting and a potential listing 
on the Nasdaq Nordic main market. 
 
Click here to view the full report. 
 
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All reports published by Edison are free-to-access and available on the website. 
 
About Edison: Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle 
East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world-renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. 
At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisers and stakeholders. 
Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations 
and strategic consulting. 
Edison is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. 
Edison is not an adviser or broker-dealer and does not provide investment advice. Edison's reports are not 
solicitations to buy or sell any securities. 
For more information, please contact Edison: 
Alison Turner         +44 (0)20 3077 5700 
[email protected] 
 
Learn more at www.edisongroup.com and connect with Edison on: 
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=---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Dissemination of a CORPORATE NEWS, transmitted by EQS Group. 
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. 
=---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 

1162923 26-Jan-2021

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

January 26, 2021 03:00 ET (08:00 GMT)

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